Eps 1: COVID-19: the biggest killer
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Vincent Jensen
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COVID-19 became the third leading cause of death in the United States in 2020, surpassing cancer and heart disease. Since the beginning of 2021, more than 200,000 Americans have died of the disease, bringing the total number of pandemics to more than 550,000. As a result, Lessler predicts that until there is an effective vaccine, the virus will occupy the top 10 spots on this year's list of causes of death. By 20 February 2021 the virus will kill average more than 2,400 people in the US a day, a staggering 20% higher than the next leading cause of death.
Looking at recent data on deaths from COVID-19 and other causes, it is clear that the virus is the number one cause of death in the United States. The weekly CDC mortality data, derived from death certificate submissions, shows that in the weeks from March 30 to April 4 last year, coronavirus became the leading cause of death and left only heart disease and cancer behind. These rankings include the months in early 2020, when the pandemic in the US had not yet taken hold and the death toll from the virus was rising, and the holidays in November and December.
These alarming figures suggest the disease is likely to become the country's deadliest cause of death this winter. From 1 November 2020 to 13 December 2020, the 7-day average of COVID 19 daily deaths increased from 826 to 2,430 deaths per day. This trend has continued since then and exceeds the daily rate at the peak of the spring increase on 21 April 2020 , when the virus became the second leading cause of death of the decade and the daily death rate from heart disease and cancer was 1,700 and 1,600 deaths per day respectively. The COVID / 19 mortality rate exceeds the threshold at which an infectious disease becomes more deadly than heart disease or cancer due to its mortality, increased rate of transmission, increased leisure travel and meetings, and increased indoor exposure.
According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention there were 2,813,503 recorded deaths in 2017 in the United States. The age-adjusted death rate, which takes into account the aging population, was 7,319 deaths per 100,000 in the US, an increase of 0.4% from 2016.
The estimated age adjusted mortality rate increased from 7,152 to 8,287 deaths for 100,000 inhabitants in 2019-2020 by 15.9%. COVID-19 was identified as the cause of death and the cause of death was estimated at 377,883 or 11.3 deaths .
The highest COVID-19 death rates were among men, older people over 85, Native Americans / Alaska Natives and Hispanic individuals. The highest age-adjusted mortality rates by age, race / ethnicity and gender occurred in adults 85 and older, non-Hispanic Blacks, African-Americans, blacks, non-Hispanics, Native Americans, Alaska Natives, AI and - persons. The overall mortality rate was highest among non-Mexican blacks and non-Hispanic American / Indian / Alaskan Native Americans.
Among people between the ages of 35 and 44, COVID-19 outperformed car accidents and respiratory diseases, but was lower than suicide, heart disease and cancer. It was the second leading cause of death after cancer among those aged over 85, followed by heart disease.
Among those under 35, drug overdoses, suicide and car accidents remained the leading causes of death. Non-communicable diseases accounted for 74% of deaths in 2019. In the 16 years from 2000 to 2016, groups in the class of communicable maternal, neonatal, and nutrition-related diseases, including HIV / AIDS, diarrhoea and preterm birth complications, caused the fewest deaths and fell out of the top 10 according to WHO.
Road accidents that kill more than a million people per year and cost most countries 3% of their GDP are the leading cause of death among children and young adults aged between five and 29 according to WHO. The third leading cause of death in this group are respiratory diseases, including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease , asthma, occupational lung disease and pulmonary hypertension which account for more than three million deaths each year. The most common causes of death vary by country but HIV/AIDS and CVD were the leading causes of death in 2017, in 2017 in Botswana and South Africa in many high-income countries.
The COVID-19 mortality rate is similar, but it kills fewer young children and adolescents and becomes more dangerous with age, killing people up to the age of 70. Around half of people reach the age of 70 before dying and the causes of death that tend to kill older adults like ischemic heart disease and stroke are the leading cause of death.
Respiratory infections remain the world's deadliest infectious disease, ranking fourth among causes of death. Among the second leading causes of death are chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and stroke, accounting for 11% and 6% of all deaths respectively. Since 2000, the biggest rise in deaths to ischemic heart disease has been attributed, accounting for 16% of global deaths. The global death rate has increased from more than 2 million in 2000 to 8.9 million in 2019.
Ons data showed that COVID-19 was the third most common cause of death in March with 9.2 per cent of the deaths in England and 6.3 per cent in Wales recorded. India recorded 3,645 COVID -19 deaths as of April 28, according to the Union Health Ministry.
Daily deaths caused by COVID-19 averaged more than 3,200 last week. It is not the first time the virus has emerged as the number one killer since the pandemic began earlier this year. In January alone, an average of 2,300 people died from heart disease and 2,000 from cancer every day in the US from 2015 to 2020, according to CDC data.
The novel coronavirus pandemic has become the leading cause of death in India within eight weeks, according to Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation . The virus jumped to 26th place on February 22, causing an average of 180 deaths a day, or 1,273 a week. America and Europe account for 80% of COVID-19 deaths, even though they account for only a quarter of the world's population.